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Delta Interval Research Note CYCLES RESEARCH  
May 09, 2006  
 

1 - Baker Hughes Inc. (BHI) Cycles
Report
 
  • cycle length duration: 35 days,
  • cycle amount of dollar change: $23.55,
  • often a cycle ends with a high daily trading volume,
  • pointing to the cycle end: look for above avg. daily trading range.
 
2 - Price Behavior Graph  
 

3 - Options
Trade

 
We have observed a substantial move upwards over the past month. The technical indicators point to stock being much overbought. The value increase of $23 dollars represents a 35% rise of BHI stock price since the positive cycle started on March 21.
We buy 1 contract of Jun-06 BHI 85 and/or 1 contract of Jul-06 BHI 90 options straddle.
One of them should win. This means we are indifferent to the direction of the stocks move, even though there is a high chance of a correction downward. We monitor our directional risk by delta and our time exposure risk by theta. The market fluctuates and offers an opportunity to achieve a target of monthly +5% to +10% return per trade. (learn more)
 

 
 


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